Thank you for being interested in my work. The paper and presentation below introduce some of my current thinking. The paper questions decision theory, and the presentation describes a practical application of my research, the optimizer's curse, plus strategies to mitigate it. Please enjoy.
- Here is my presentation (32 min.) for INFORMS Business Analytics Conference, Apirl 2021: The Optimizer's Curse.
- Here is a paper, published February 2021, in Decision Analysis, on how forecasting errors affect decision theory: Forecasting Errors and Decision Theory. (Great for long plane rides and insomniacs.)